Agri Data Climate

Skymet, pointed downward its forecast for South-West Monsoon 2021

"Skymate, forecast southeast-monsoon"

Skymet Weather Services Pvt Ltd, a private weather forecaster, has pointed downward its forecast for the South-West Monsoon this year.

Skymet stated in a press release that there is a 60% chance of a below-normal Monsoon, which is now forecast to be 94% of the long-term average of 880.6 mm rainfall. The forecast for the period June-September has a 4% point error margin.

Also Read: Skymet provides satellite data to farmers, students, researchers, entrepreneurs

The Southwest Monsoon arrived on time and got off to a good start, with June finishing above average at 110% of the long-term average (LPA). However, it encountered a “break phase” near the end of June, resulting in a weak start to July.

Rainfall that month was limited until July 11th. In July, rainfall totaled 93% of the LPA. During the first two weeks of this month, the monsoon experienced its second “break” phase. Due to prolonged weak monsoon conditions, seasonal rainfall in India has been 9% deficient to date. The monsoon’s below-normal status has not improved as of yet.

In terms of geographical risk, deficient rains are expected in Gujarat, Rajasthan, Odisha, Kerala, and North-East India. Drought conditions appear to be looming over Gujarat and West Rajasthan.

The spatial distribution of rainfall over the rainfed areas of Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, and Uttar Pradesh, on the other hand, has been adequate. As a result, food production in the central agri-bowl may not be stressed and skewed.

Also Read: July rainfall was 7% below the average – India Meteorological Department

‘The weakness in the monsoon could possibly be attributed to a prolonged negative phase of Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in the Indian Ocean and extended break conditions,’ says Jatin Singh, Managing Director of Skymet.

Agri Word:

Skymet Brief: Skymet Weather Services is a privately held Indian firm that offers weather forecasting services. In 2003, Skymet was the first private sector entity to provide weather forecasts and graphics to Indian media. Skymet was founded in 2003 by Jatin Singh and is headquartered in Noida, India.

IMD: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) is an agency of the Government of India’s Ministry of Earth Sciences. It is the primary agency in charge of meteorological observations, forecasting, and seismology.

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